U.S. commercial rents will reach their former peak levels by 2015, with growth in office and warehouse rates surpassing the apartment sector in two years, according to a forecast by RREEF.
Buildings in New York, San Francisco, Boston, San Diego and San Jose, California, will have some of the strongest growth after office rents fell 4.9 percent nationally last year, Alan Billingsley, head of research for RREEF, an investment unit of Deutsche Bank AG (DB), said yesterday at a conference in San Francisco.
“Net operating income is still moving downward, but when rent growth starts, it really takes off,” Billingsley said.
U.S. commercial property prices fell 4.3 percent from a year earlier in January, the second straight monthly decline, as distressed sales in all sectors held back values, the Moody’s/REAL Commercial Property Price Index showed March 22. The delinquency rate on loans packaged as commercial mortgage- backed securities rose to a record 9.2 percent in February, Moody’s said March 15.
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